19-20

Natural in Republic Creek

Republic Creek
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R2-D2.5-O
Elevation
9800
Aspect
NE
Latitude
44.98550
Longitude
-109.94100
Notes

From e-mail: "... This picture is from what I call the Sirens. Looks pretty recent. Steep terrain and repeat offender every season. We got some isolated collapses while skinning today. West face snowpit at 9600' revealed no issues with Thanksgiving later, but did get it to go 90cm deep on a Ect31, big wallop on basal facets."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
2.5
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Dec 15, 2019

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Yesterday near Cooke City a snowmobiler triggered and was caught in a 2-4 foot deep hard slab avalanche. He was luckily unharmed, while his sled was trashed (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21222">photos and details</a></strong>). Three other avalanches were triggered yesterday near Cooke City (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/avalanche-crown-butte">photo</a><…;), and another was triggered two days ago (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21201">photo and details</a></strong></u>). These large avalanches broke on weak layers below a couple feet of snow that fell last week (<u><strong><a href="https://youtu.be/LGgBEFTzlN4">video</a></strong></u><strong&gt;, <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/scotch-bonnet-snowpack">photo</a>…;). Similar slides can be triggered today, especially on heavily wind loaded slopes where thicker slabs push weak layers closer to&nbsp;breaking. Avoid riding on and underneath steep slopes. Today the avalanche danger is <strong>CONSIDERABLE</strong>.</p>

<p>Near West Yellowstone and Big Sky, buried weak layers create an unstable snowpack and make large avalanches easy to trigger. Yesterday Dave was at Buck Ridge teaching a class, and he found the weak, sugary facets on the ground continue to be unstable (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F29K5DVfNgs&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). He also talked to some riders that reported triggering several avalanches. Over the last week we found this poor snowpack structure accompanied by signs of instability in Taylor Fork (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GvpDqZDLTto&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;), Lionhead near West Yellowstone (<u><strong><a href="https://youtu.be/VwdWKoEfnxE">video</a></strong></u&gt;), and Buck Ridge near Big Sky (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lo5H0T434XA&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). Without new snow the snowpack will slowly stabilize, but the fragile snowpack structure will make large avalanches a possibility for weeks or months. Today, large avalanches are easy to trigger and can be triggered from low angle terrain adjacent to steep slopes. Avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</p>

<p>In the Bridger Range and Hyalite 2-4” inches of new snow and moderate wind make fresh slabs possible to trigger. The last couple days Doug found fresh wind slabs as the main concern on ice climbs. He explains how to assess this hazard in his <u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hfZRSXzS3CI&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…; from Thursday. Larger avalanches are possible if they break on deeper buried weak layers, such as what I found on Saddle Peak last week (<u><strong><a href="https://youtu.be/g4BPe7ydpEU">video</a></strong></u&gt;) or the layers that produced unstable test results for skiers in the northern Bridgers (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/unstable-ect-n-bridgers">photo</a…;). Yesterday in Hyalite, four separate groups dialed back their plans after digging and getting stability tests to break on weak layers 8” to 1.5’ deep. &nbsp;</p>

<p>Watch for cracking of the snow surface as a sign that the new snow is unstable. Avoid slopes that are suspect of having buried weak layers, and dig to look for unstable buried weak layers before riding on steep slopes. Avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an&nbsp;<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">observation form</a></strong></u>, email us (<u><strong><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></strong></u&gt;), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.

BOZEMAN

December 18, 1-hr Avalanche Awareness, 6-7 p.m. at Uphill Pursuits.

COOKE CITY

A rider triggered and was caught in this slide on 12/14. From e-mail: "...Rider was approaching blind roll over from the top when slide was triggered at the visible crown.  Rider attempted to bail, but both the individual and machine were carried over and through the rocks and strainers below.  Rider and machine were deposited in the debris pile as seen in pictures.  Rider was unharmed.  Machine was pretty well trashed...." Photo: A. Bertolino

Cooke City, 2019-12-15