19-20

From BSSP on 12/15: "For the 4th day in a row we triggered a persistent slab avalanche on the early November crust/facet (2mm) combo.  This time the right side of Lenin main failed w/ a 4lb shot and ran full track well past the top of Shedhorn... The slide was approx. 150’, 5’ at its deepest at the crown and resulted in a solid size 3 avalanche." Photo: BSSP

Northern Madison, 2019-12-16

From BSSP on 12/15: "For the 4th day in a row we triggered a persistent slab avalanche on the early November crust/facet (2mm) combo.  This time the right side of Lenin main failed w/ a 4lb shot and ran full track well past the top of Shedhorn... The slide was approx. 150’, 5’ at its deepest at the crown and resulted in a solid size 3 avalanche." Photo: BSSP

Northern Madison, 2019-12-16

Small slide in Hyalite

Divide Peak
Northern Gallatin
Code
SS-N-R1-D1-U
Latitude
45.40290
Longitude
-110.97600
Notes

While on a tour in Hyalite yesterday, we were able to find stable snow on a south aspect at 9500 feet. Although we found no propagation in our ECT, we observed a defined crust layer about 2.5 feet down which was well bonded to snow above. On some steeper pitches near rocks bands, we observed top layer slough that moved naturally. We also observed a small crown from a day or two ago that broke between two buried rocks and only ran about 50 feet down slope.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
U - Unknown
Slab Thickness
12.0 inches
Vertical Fall
50ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Large avalanches in Taylor Fork

Taylor Fork
Southern Madison
Code
SS-N-R2-D2-O
Elevation
9200
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.06070
Longitude
-111.27200
Notes

Riders reported three recent avalanches that happened on or prior to 12/15. A couple looked natural, one had a lot of tracks nearby and may have been snowmobile triggered.

Number of slides
3
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Natural avalanches near Silver Gate

Republic Creek
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R2-D2-U
Elevation
9800
Aspect
NE
Latitude
44.98550
Longitude
-109.94100
Notes

Photo of recent avalanche up on Amphitheater Mtn., as seen 12/15 from Silver Gate.  NE aspect around 9800'

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
U - Unknown
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Dec 16, 2019

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Over the weekend we received reports from Cooke City of multiple snowmobile triggered avalanches, including one very close call (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21222">photos and details</a></strong></u>), and a few natural avalanches (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/natural-slab-avalanche-near-silve…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/styles/very_large_1200w…;). Last week the mountains near Cooke City received 2 feet of snow equal to 2.5” of <a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2… water equivalent</a> (SWE) on top of buried weak layers (<u><strong><a href="https://youtu.be/LGgBEFTzlN4">video</a></strong></u><strong&gt;, <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/scotch-bonnet-snowpack">photo</a>…;). This combination created an unstable snowpack which resulted in large avalanches. The last few days without snow gave the snowpack time to gain stability. The chances of triggering a large avalanche have decreased, but it remains possible with high consequences. Steep slopes should only be approached with extra caution and very careful snowpack assessment. Today avalanche danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong>.</p>

<p>The snowpack near West Yellowstone and Big Sky has multiple buried weak layers that make large avalanches possible to trigger. Sugary snow on the ground creates a weak foundation for the snowpack, and a thin layer of surface hoar buried 1-2’ deep contributes to instability (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/styles/very_large_1200w…;). Last week we visited Buck Ridge (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lo5H0T434XA&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;), Taylor Fork (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GvpDqZDLTto&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;) and Lionhead (<u><strong><a href="https://youtu.be/VwdWKoEfnxE">video</a></strong></u&gt;) where we found this poor snowpack structure and saw natural and snowmobile triggered avalanches. Yesterday in Taylor Fork riders saw similar recent slides (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/styles/very_large_1200w…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/styles/very_large_1200w…;

<p>The chances of triggering large avalanches on these weak layers are decreasing, but it remains possible with high consequences. Only approach steep slopes after very careful snowpack and terrain assessment. Large avalanches are possible to trigger and danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong>.</p>

<p>The Bridger Range and Hyalite got 4-6” of low density snow (.4” SWE) the last couple days. Today moderate to strong wind will create fresh drifts that are possible to trigger. These drifts are found near ridgelines and along edges of steep gullies (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hfZRSXzS3CI&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). Watch for cracking of the snow surface as a sign these drifts are unstable and should be avoided. Look for non wind-loaded terrain to ride, and reduce the consequences of even a small slide by avoiding slopes above trees, rocks or cliffs.</p>

<p>Yesterday we toured on the Ramp north of Bridger Bowl and found a mostly stable snowpack without weak layers breaking in our stability tests. In the mountains near Bozeman the snowpack has some buried weak layers (<u><strong><a href="https://youtu.be/g4BPe7ydpEU">video</a></strong></u&gt;), but these layers are not widespread and have not produced recent avalanches. Avalanches deeper than the new snow are unlikely, but it is still important to diligently assess the snowpack before riding each slope. Today fresh wind slabs are possible to trigger. Danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong> on wind loaded slopes and <strong>LOW</strong> on all other slopes.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an&nbsp;<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">observation form</a></strong></u>, email us (<u><strong><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></strong></u&gt;), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.

BOZEMAN

December 18, 1-hr Avalanche Awareness, 6-7 p.m. at Uphill Pursuits.

COOKE CITY