22-23

Dry loose natural / small step down

Date
Activity
Skiing
Snowmobiling

As we were leaving the zone, loose snow naturally flushed out of the steep north /east facing couloirs / cliffs NW of Ainger Lake, fell over some cliffs, and triggered additional dry loose and what appeared to be some small storm slab pockets, out onto the apron.

Viz was not great re: details, but it was a humbling amount of snow moving on its own, without any obvious signs of warming or wind transport.  No other yellow flags observed throughout the tour. 
 

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Northern Bridgers
Observer Name
Jonathan Atwell

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Mar 10, 2023

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>New snow and strong winds are adding load to a snowpack that was already teetering on the edge of instability. As snow accumulates today, you will be able to trigger avalanches in the new and windblown snow. Be on the lookout for and avoid steep slopes with thick fresh drifts. Very strong winds will be loading slopes at all elevations, including slopes that are not usually wind affected. New snow slides could easily be large enough to bury you by themselves and definitely merit caution, but also don’t let them distract you from the much more dangerous deep slab concern.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Last week, steady, incremental loading led to several natural and human triggered avalanches breaking on persistent weak layers buried deep in the snowpack (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://youtu.be/nZFM_QZxG3Q"><span><span><span><strong><span><u><span>… City video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Today’s loading event makes it more likely for you to trigger one of these large, likely unsurvivable, deep slab avalanches. Getting on steep slopes while a snowpack that has shown the propensity for deep slab avalanches is actively being loaded is tempting fate. Avoid riding on or under slopes steeper than 30 degrees today.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Human triggered avalanches are likely and the avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>A couple inches of new snow isn’t enough to bump up the danger rating, but by no means does that mean conditions are safe. The avalanche concerns are the same here as in the areas getting more snowfall today, but slides in the new snow will be smaller and avalanches breaking deeper are less likely. If you are planning on riding in avalanche terrain, watch out for wind drifts and dig to test recently buried weak layers in the upper snowpack (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/28511"><span><span><span><strong><span… documenting a new weak layer in Hyalite</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). As the potential still exists for huge, deep slab avalanches (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://youtu.be/42Zk3eLEMvE"><span><span><span><strong><span><u><span>… video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>) simply continuing to avoid steep slopes all together is not at all an unreasonable plan. Any potential for deep slab avalanches is particularly scary because signs of instability before an avalanche are often non-existent, stability tests aren’t as effective and many people may travel across a slope before someone hits the wrong spot, and it releases.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Triggering large avalanches remains possible and the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Please share avalanche, snowpack or weather observations via our</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_obs"><span><span><span><span>…; </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><u><span><span>website</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, email (</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>mtavalanche@gmail.com</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs). </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Heavy snowfall and very strong winds today will dramatically increase the avalanche danger. We were a hair's breadth away from issuing an avalanche warning. The more new snow that falls, the more dangerous conditions will become. Avalanches could break in today’s new and wind drifted snow, within the snow that fell last week, or potentially on weak layers deeper in the snowpack. Take a huge step back in your terrain choices today. Avoid riding on or beneath steep slopes.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

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Instability on Woody Ridge

Date
Activity
Skiing

Shooting cracks and collapsing on SW facing slope at 9600'. Shallow snowpack estimated at 120 cm. 

Region
Cooke City
Observer Name
Zach Peterson

Natural Avalanche Near Blackmore

Date
Activity
Skiing

We skied the ridge north of Blackmore (Tomahawk Ridge?) traveling between 6800' -9200' on SE-NE aspects. We dug two pits. one at 8000' on a NE aspect, HS 170cm fair structure, good strength. ECTN24 @ 45cm below the surface. With loupe and card I could find a few SH feathers on the failure plain. 

Second Pit. 9200', NE, previously loaded. HS 210. ECTN28@ -40cm. similar structure but bed surface was much harder (P) old wind board. Couldn't find any surface hoar but found .5mm NSF on failure plain. 

On the ridge above, ~9400' on a NE aspect there was a natural avalanche, maybe cornice failure, probably same timeframe as the Divide slides. ran ~600'.

HS-N-D2-R2-O

Wide spread surface hoar on top this morning. Sun was knocking it down on solar slopes by 11:30. Snow (S1) started at ~12:15 

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Mt Blackmore

Obs from the Throne

Date
Activity
Skiing

We skinned up the east face of the Throne and dug at the top of the east face (8100 ft, east aspect) and again on the north facing slope at top of the throne itself (8300 ft, north aspect). Snow depth of ~7 ft on the east face and ~4 on the north. ECTX in both pits. No cracking, collapsing, or other signs of instability. No avalanches observed. Little wind effect in the new snow. South aspects starting to get a surface crust, no crust on east or north. 

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
The Throne
Observer Name
Ian Hoyer