21-22

Wet skide

Date

Wet slide in the main gully 

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Republic Mountain
Observer Name
Steve Dober

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Thu Mar 3, 2022

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Today is a serious day in the northern ranges. Snowpack stability is changing for the worse, and fast. It has been 72 hours without freezing temperatures between 8-9,000 feet in the Bridger Range, Hyalite and Big Sky area. Mountain temperatures are expected to rise into the high 40s with sun and minimal wind, a trifecta of ingredients for wet avalanches. Conditions will worsen throughout the day. Stay away from avalanche terrain and avalanche runout zones that are getting sun or are wet. Wet loose and wet slab avalanches are likely. Avoidance is the key to staying safe. Digging a snowpit is not required, just situational awareness.&nbsp;</p>

<p>If you can magically port yourself onto cooler, upper elevation, north facing (shaded) slopes, then you’ll need to contend with a few wind drifts that could break, but this concern is secondary (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><strong><u>avalanche activity list</u></strong></a>). First you’ll have to navigate lower elevation, wet avalanche territory, our primary concern. Avalanche danger will rise from MODERATE to CONSIDERABLE on all slopes that are getting sunshine.</p>

<p>The southern mountains from Big Sky to West Yellowstone have temperatures that are below freezing by a couple degrees. Warm temperatures and some sunshine will create wet avalanches, but these will likely be loose slides on the surface instead of deeper slabs. Wet snowpacks are dynamic and can surprise us, so be extra cautious today. Faceted and weak snow are found in the top 6-18” of the snowpack. In a few areas wind drifts have added enough weight to create instability. Ian and I had a <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/26053"><u>whumpf yesterday</u></a> in a snowpack that had a thick wind slab over faceted snow, a recipe found throughout our southern ranges. If the snow is dry, dig to test the weak snow. If the surface is wet, stay out of avalanche terrain. For today avalanches are possible and the danger is rated MODERATE on all slopes, wet or dry.</p>

<p>In the mountains around Cooke City there are two issues to be concerned with: a weak layer of faceted snow buried 2 feet deep, and wet loose avalanches on steep slopes that are getting sun.&nbsp; A skier triggered and was caught in an avalanche on Tuesday near Goose Creek on this weak layer. He was luckily unharmed (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/26049"><strong><u>photos and details</u></strong></a>). This is the most recent slide in a list of avalanche activity (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><strong><u>avalanche activity list</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxPaEcKATts&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvT1nrM2…;). Yesterday a skier noted many wet, loose avalanches in steep terrain on Mt Abiathar in YNP (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/26056"><strong><u>details</u></strong>…;). I expect to see similar wet avalanches around Cooke City today. Do not get into steep terrain if you see recent slides, or find instability. It remains possible to trigger avalanches and the danger is rated MODERATE.&nbsp;</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Education Opportunities

See our education calendar for an up-to-date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events.

Tomorrow! Companion Rescue Clinic with the Bozeman Splitfest. Information and registration HERE.

Wet loose - Cooke City

Abiathar Peak
Cooke City
Code
WL-N
Elevation
8000
Latitude
44.97560
Longitude
-110.03100
Notes

Lots of natural, small wet loose avalanches below 8k today. 4-5” of wetting. 

Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
Problem Type
Wet Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Wet loose - Cooke City

Date
Activity
Skiing
Ice Climbing

Lots of natural, small wet loose avalanches below 8k today. 4-5” of wetting. 

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Abiathar Peak
Observer Name
Ryan Griffiths

Good stability around Mt Jefferson and Reas Peak

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

We had warm temps and good visibility as we rode into Yale Creek. We saw no avalanches, just a lot of wind affected terrain. We rode out and back: Yale Creek, Mt. Jefferson Bowl, Hellroaring Creek past Reas Peak and dug a pit at Tin Cup Pass. Once we got into Hell Roaring Creek we could find soft snow that was just old snow that faceted. We dug at Tin Cup Pass on a NE facing slope at 8,000'. It was the same spot I dug on February 6 and the hole was plainly visible. We dug to the ground (HS 175) and found a stable snowpack (ECTX). The snow structure: weak facets at the ground, then Pencil to Knife hardness slab, then weak, very sugary snow in the top 18” (plus the 2 surface hoar layers). As I walked over from the sleds to the wind-loaded cornice edge I got a whumph but did not see a crack. It was a wind slab on facets that broke. Very isolated but it reminded me of the Lionhead fatality. Small, wind-loaded terrain. Danger felt generally stable, but the whumph was real and made me wonder what other small terrain features are harboring this instability. Basically, be wary around wind slabs!

 

Region
Island Park
Location (from list)
Mt Jefferson Bowl
Observer Name
Doug Chabot