19-20

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Jan 14, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The southern ranges near West Yellowstone have the weakest snowpack structure in our advisory area and, in the last two days, they received the most snow. With 10-16” equal to 1-1.4” of <a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2… water equivalent</a> (SWE) (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QoHpKz6J52s&amp;feature=youtu.be"><stro…;) and 4-8” forecast today, dangerous avalanche conditions persist. The most likely avalanches will occur within the new snow and in areas where the wind is depositing large drifts of snow, but large avalanches failing on weak layers near the ground are possible as new snow stresses the snowpack (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/shallow-and-unstable-lionhead"><s…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/sites/default/files/styles/very_large_1200w…;). Either of these avalanche concerns will be large enough to bury, injure, or kill a skier or rider. Today, careful route finding to avoid steep slopes and runout zones will keep you out of harm’s way. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on all slopes.</p>

<p>Yesterday in Cooke City, skiers approaching Meridian Peak remotely triggered an avalanche that broke 15” deep and 50’ wide (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21575">avalanche activity</a></strong>). This avalanche was relatively large on the path in which it occurred and gives us a window into what could happen on a bigger slope. While I was pleasantly surprised by the stability I found in my snowpits there the last two days, the key information is that more than 50” of snow fell since New Year’s Day and we saw large plumes of snow create by the wind (<a href="https://youtu.be/Za-GgO09eEw"><strong>video</strong></a&gt;, <strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_VHfcZztwYQ">video</a&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/wind-loading-cooke-city">photo</a…;).</strong> Avalanches breaking within freshly deposited drifts of snow will be large and avalanches breaking on weak layers deep in the snowpack will be deadly and remain a consideration. Avoid steep wind loaded slopes and assess non-wind loaded terrain before entering avalanche terrain. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind loaded slopes and MODERATE on non-wind loaded slopes.</p>

<p>The weak snowpack structure near Big Sky is producing avalanches. On Sunday, Doug saw three natural avalanches that broke near the ground in the Buck Ridge area (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21558">avalanche activity</a></strong>, <a href="https://youtu.be/hVWTWK_GaBs"><strong>video</strong></a&gt;). The Big Sky Ski Patrol continues to trigger meaty wind slabs and an occasional deep slab avalanche. In the Bridger Range, the wind picked up in the afternoon transporting new snow. Yesterday, skiers north of Bridger Bowl reported a human triggered soft slab avalanche breaking 18-24” deep (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21572"><strong>avalanche activity</strong></a>). Give special consideration to slopes with freshly drifted snow and assess all steep slopes to determine the risk of larger avalanches before entering avalanche terrain. Human triggered avalanches are possible and the avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>

<p>The Northern Gallatin Range has received less snow than the rest of our advisory area and has a generally strong snowpack. With 13” of new snow and 1” of SWE in the last six days, the primary concern is snow drifted by winds gusting into the 40s mph. Alex explains these issues in his <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fdgt5Mp8E6s&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…; from Mount Blackmore on Saturday. With continued winds and light snowfall forecast for today, avoid areas with freshly drifted snow and watch for cracks shooting out from your feet as signs of instability. Assess slopes for the consequences of small avalanches before committing to steep terrain. &nbsp;Avalanche danger is MODERATE on wind loaded slopes and LOW on non-wind loaded slopes.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an&nbsp;<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong>observat… form</strong></a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong></a…;), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Webpage dedicated to the Centennial Range in Idaho and Montana

After the two snowmobiler avalanche fatalities on Reas Peak in the Centennial Range in January 2018 we created a webpage so riders could get good, relevant information regarding snowpack and avalanches.

Remote Trigger Meridian Peak

Meridian Peak
Cooke City
Code
SS-ASr-R3-D2-I
Elevation
8370
Aspect
S
Latitude
45.02700
Longitude
-110.00300
Notes

We toured into Meridian today. On our approach we remote triggered a soft slab on the climber’s left (west) side of the crux approach slope. It was 50’ wide, ran 150’, and the crown was about 12-15”. It was a south aspect at 8370’ with a ~40 degree start zone. The storm slab ran on a crust.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
r-A remote avalanche released by the indicated trigger
R size
3
D size
2
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
New Snow
Slab Thickness
15.0 inches
Vertical Fall
150ft
Slab Width
50.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

We toured into Meridian today. On our approach we remote triggered a soft slab on the climber’s left (west) side of the crux approach slope. It was 50’ wide, ran 150’, and the crown was about 12-15”. It was a south aspect at 8370’ with a ~40 degree start zone. The storm slab ran on a crust. Photo: N Hance

Cooke City, 2020-01-14

18-24" Wind Slab North of Bridger Bowl

BRIDGER RANGE
Bridger Range
Code
SS-AS
Latitude
45.85120
Longitude
-110.94800
Notes

Skier triggered wind slab reported north of Bridger Bowl on 13 January. Photo: B. Henry

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness
20.0 inches
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year