19-20

Natural slides in Carrot Basin

Taylor Fork
Southern Madison
Code
SS-N-R2-D2-O
Elevation
9500
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.06070
Longitude
-111.27200
Notes

Forecaster obs: We rode into Taylor Fork on 12/13 and saw recent crown lines along the long ridge in Carrot basin. Appeared to be natural and broke on weak snow at the base of the snowpack. They were buried by recent snow so at least one day old, but timing is estimated.

Number of slides
3
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Dec 14, 2019

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Yesterday, in Taylor Fork, Alex found challenging riding conditions with a foot of newer snow over very weak snow at the base of the snowpack. He got unstable test results and saw a recent avalanche that broke 1000 ft wide (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GvpDqZDLTto&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). I found similar conditions on Thursday at Buck Ridge (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lo5H0T434XA&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;) as did Dave earlier in the week at Lionhead (<strong><a href="https://youtu.be/VwdWKoEfnxE">video</a></strong&gt;). The exact composition of the weak layers varies a little, but the overarching story is the same – multiple layers of weak snow are capped by a foot or more snow that fell over the last week. This is an unstable recipe. You can trigger avalanches remotely from below or from adjacent low angle terrain. With CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger today, avoid riding on or below steep slopes.</p>

<p>In Cooke City yesterday, riders remotely triggered a large avalanche from the flats below a steep slope (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21201">details</a></strong&gt;). It broke 2 ft deep, likely on the weak layer of facets mid-pack (<strong><a href="https://youtu.be/LGgBEFTzlN4">video</a></strong><strong&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/scotch-bonnet-snowpack">photo</a>…;). Recent avalanches are the clearest sign of instability. The potential to remotely trigger a slide means you need to give yourself an extra large safety margin. Give steep slopes a wide berth today. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</p>

<p>In the Bridger Range, there is a weak layer of faceted snow buried around a foot deep. We haven’t seen much activity on this layer recently, but it still merits caution, especially on slopes where it is buried deeper and capped by a hard windslab (<strong><a href="https://youtu.be/g4BPe7ydpEU">video</a></strong&gt;). Yesterday, skiers in the northern Bridgers were surprised by an unstable test result on this layer. Triggering a large avalanche is possible and the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</p>

<p>Avalanche concerns in the northern Gallatin Range are limited to windloaded slopes (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hfZRSXzS3CI&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). Skiers on Blackmore yesterday got a very unstable test result (ECTP8) under the new snow on a windloaded slope and chose to play it safe by skiing back down their skin track. Search for signs of instability (particularly cracking wind slabs and unstable test results) and dial back your terrain choices if you find it. The avalanche danger is MODERATE on wind-loaded slopes and LOW on all other slopes.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an&nbsp;<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">observation form</a></strong>, email us (<strong><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></strong&gt;), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.

BOZEMAN

December 18, 1-hr Avalanche Awareness, 6-7 p.m. at Uphill Pursuits.

COOKE CITY

Remote triggered large avalanche near Cooke

Goose Creek
Cooke City
Code
HS-ASr-R3-D2-O
Elevation
9800
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.08160
Longitude
-109.96000
Notes

From e-mail: "Remote triggered this one today. Knew it was up there and touchy. Took the safe line along the trees.... certainly a sign of what is possible...."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
r-A remote avalanche released by the indicated trigger
R size
3
D size
2
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness
24.0 inches
Vertical Fall
120ft
Slab Width
175.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year