19-20

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Apr 6, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>There is a full bag of avalanche concerns to watch for which is common this time of year. Over the weekend avalanches involved wet snow, wind-drifted snow, buried persistent weak layers and cornices (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22663"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22657"><strong>photo</strong></a&gt;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/cornice-triggered-slides-bridger"…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22674">details</a></strong&gt;). Today’s weather forecast has relatively high uncertainty, so conditions may change unexpectedly (also common during spring). If there is more snow than expected, fresh drifts could grow large. If there is more rain at higher elevations, wet loose and wet slab avalanches will be possible. Any brief sunshine will make wet avalanches possible, and above freezing temperatures will weaken large cornices (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/massive-cornices-beehive"><strong…;).</p>

<p>Just a few inches of new snow will create minimal hazard, but more than a drizzle of rain will increase wet avalanche hazard. If it rains hard, or if you see roller balls, pinwheels or natural wet slides avoid steep slopes. Where you find dry snow (higher elevation, northerly aspects), avoid fresh drifts and slopes where you find or suspect buried weak layers (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/buried-surface-hoar-crystal"><str…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/ectp-surface-hoar-s-madison"><str…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/ectp-surface-hoar-mt-ellis"><stro…;). Also stay far back from the edge along ridgelines&nbsp;and avoid slopes below large cornices.</p>

<p>Through the middle of the week sunny skies and above freezing temperatures will make wet avalanches the main concern. Freezing overnight temperature will minimize large wet slab activity, but expect stability to decrease through each day for possible wet loose and shallow wet slabs. Start early when the snow is frozen or dry and be off&nbsp;and out from underneath steep terrain before the snow becomes wet. If you sink past your boot top into wet snow then it’s passed&nbsp;the right time to turn around, but not too late. See this <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/blog/transitions-spring-snow-avalanche-prob… info below for general spring snowpack and travel advice.</p>

<p>Please continue to send us your observations. You can fill out an <a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com&quot; target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs). We greatly appreciate your support.</p>

SKI AND RIDE SAFE

Since Wednesday there were two tragic avalanche fatalities in Wyoming and Idaho (report, report), and in the last two weeks two avalanche accidents in Colorado required heli-evac for life-threatening injuries (report,

Natural wet loose in Absarokas

Out of Advisory Area
Code
WL-N-R1-D1.5-S
Elevation
9000
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.65530
Longitude
-110.55800
Notes

From obs 4/5/20: "...saw a ton of tracks and a lot of natural dry loose activity. D1-D1.5 slides on steep E to NE terrain between 8000 and 9500'. Everything pictured released between 1200 and 1400 when the sun was out. Looked like rollerballs were heating up on the cliffs and triggering dry loose slides below."

Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Wet Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Cornice triggered wind slab at Bridger

Bridger Bowl
Bridger Range
Code
SS-NC-R2-D1.5-I
Elevation
8600
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.81560
Longitude
-110.92300
Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Cornice fall
R size
2
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Apr 5, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Yesterday a skier triggered a thin wind slab on Beehive Peak which caught and carried a four-legged group member (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22663">photos and details</a></strong>). All were unharmed. Although seemingly small, a shallow slab can carry you over cliffs or into trees. Today you can trigger fresh wind slabs that formed the last couple days with moderate southwest wind. Be cautious of wind loaded slopes, and avoid terrain where any size slide has large consequences.</p>

<p>Larger avalanches can break 2-3 feet deep on buried weak layers. Yesterday in the northern Gallatin Range a snowmobiler triggered a 2 foot deep slide that&nbsp;likely failed on buried surface hoar, facets or a crust. All of which have produced avalanches, collapsing and unstable test results for the last week (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity">avalanche log</a></strong>). Dig a few feet to look for&nbsp;weak layers and avoid slopes where you suspect they exist. Weak layers 2-3 feet deep&nbsp;have consistently been found and breaking in stability tests from the Bridger Range (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/buried-surface-hoar-crystal">phot…;) to West Yellowstone (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/ectp-surface-hoar-s-madison">phot…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/ectp-surface-hoar-mt-ellis">photo…;).</p>

<p>Also avoid slopes where you can trigger wet avalanches if the snow becomes wet, and stay away from large cornices (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/massive-cornices-beehive">photo</…;). As Doug explains in his recent <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1j2Y8NWOuHs&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;, even though things may look good there are various hazards and stability can change quickly. Today avalanches are possible&nbsp;and avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>

<p>Since Wednesday there were two tragic avalanche fatalities in Wyoming and Idaho (<strong><a href="https://avalanche.state.co.us/caic/acc/acc_report.php?acc_id=752&amp;ac…;, <strong><a href="https://avalanche.state.co.us/caic/acc/acc_report.php?acc_id=755&amp;ac…;), and in the last two weeks two avalanche accidents in Colorado required heli-evac for serious injuries (<strong><a href="https://avalanche.state.co.us/caic/acc/acc_report.php?accfm=inv&amp;acc…;, <strong><a href="https://avalanche.state.co.us/caic/acc/acc_report.php?accfm=rep&amp;acc…;). <strong>All of these accidents occurred during moderate avalanche danger.</strong> A lot of people are out skiing and riding, and distancing themselves into new and untracked terrain. Please make conservative choices. Choose terrain where a slide will not carry you through rocks, over cliffs or into trees, no matter how certain you are of stability. Avoid avalanche terrain entirely to greatly reduce your risk of being injured or killed. Please consider the greater risk to rescuers, EMS resources and yourself at this time.</p>

<p>We will post general weather and avalanche bulletins every Monday and Friday through April. Please continue to send us your observations. You can fill out an <a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com&quot; target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs). We greatly appreciate your support.</p>

Closures and Stay-at-home Order

A Stay at Home order is in effect for the State of Montana due to COVID-19. This order specifically discourages “outdoor recreation activities that pose enhanced risks of injury or could otherwise stress the ability of local first responders to address the COVID-19 emergency (e.g., backcountry skiing in a manner inconsistent with avalanche recommendations or in closed terrain)”.