GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 25, 2024
<p>Human-triggered avalanches are possible across the advisory area. They are most likely to fail 6-18” deep on steep slopes where the wind has drifted recent snow in thicker slabs. However, the possibility of large avalanches breaking on deeply buried weak layers should continue to drive terrain selection. While these large slides have become less likely, they remain highly consequential, taking out nearly the entire season’s snowpack, breaking many feet deep and hundreds of feet wide.</p>
<p>A week has passed since the last large avalanches failed near the base of the snowpack. These slides broke 3+ feet deep, injured a skier and nearly swept a rider downhill had he not grabbed a tree to avoid getting carried (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31526"><strong><span>Blackmore details and photos</span></strong></a><strong>, </strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31479"><strong><span>Taylor Fork details and photos</span></strong></a>). It is a mistake to think they are not possible today. Yesterday, a group in the Bridger Range found deep instability in their pit near Ross Peak (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31593"><strong><span>details</span></s…;), and two days ago, a skier triggered a collapse with cracks that shot out 50 feet on Woody Ridge in Cooke City (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31570"><strong><span>details</span></s…;). Go back a bit further on our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log"><strong><span>wea… and avalanche log</span></strong></a><strong> </strong>to read through details about the unusually high number of avalanches breaking on this season’s persistent weak layers (<a href="https://youtu.be/K_t6Fi6wUC4?si=7YL80dNe5pSqJUsL"><strong><span>video</…;). As Doug recently discussed from Saddle Peak, a smaller avalanche or cornice fall could trigger one of these monster slides, or a backcountry traveler could get unlucky and cross a trigger point where the snowpack is thinner, initiating a very dangerous avalanche (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PyHc_9gjFWA">video</a></strong>).</p>
<p>The weekend’s storm created the potential for avalanches within the new and wind-drifted snow. Yesterday at Buck Ridge, Alex saw a natural slide that failed around 18” deep and noted that these avalanches, while small compared to those breaking deeply on persistent weak layers, are large enough to bury or injure a rider or skier (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlLu6b2UzU8"><strong><span>video</span>…;). Terrain features of concern include slopes below or adjacent to cornices, areas with pillows of drifted snow or with a textured snow surface, and slopes with signs of instability such as cracking.</p>
<p><span>If you choose to play in avalanche terrain, identify and avoid wind-loaded slopes. Select low-consequence terrain (smaller, less steep pitches without terrain traps), and follow safe travel practices by carrying rescue gear and traveling one at a time in avalanche-exposed areas while a partner watches from a safe spot. The danger is rated MODERATE. </span></p>
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Poor Test Scores near Ross Peak
From IG Message: ECTP20 on a NE facing slope on Ross Peak at 8700' elevation.
Small Avalanches on Test Slopes, Buck Ridge
From obs: "On a small test slope near Muddy Creek we intentionally triggered several small avalanches in wind loaded terrain."
Natural Avalanches near Buck Ridge
On a small test slope near Muddy Creek we intentionally triggered several small avalanches in wind-loaded terrain by knocking chunks of cornice off. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 25, 2024GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 26, 2024
While riding we saw cracking forming near our sleds in fresh drifts: Photo: GNFAC
Strong wind transporting snow at ridge tops. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 26, 2024
We saw this recent avalanche near the Bear Creek wilderness boundary while riding on 03/24/2024. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 25, 2024
We saw this natural avalanche on a wind-loaded slope behind McAtee Basin. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 25, 2024