21-22

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Thu Feb 24, 2022

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>In the mountains around Cooke City there is a weak layer of faceted, sugary snow a couple feet under the surface. There were recent avalanches on this layer (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25906"><strong><u>Miller Mountain</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25941"><strong><u>Mount Abundance</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25937"><strong><u>Round Lake</u></strong></a>) and red flags of collapsing and cracking, plus poor stability test scores yesterday south of town on Woody Ridge. This weak layer is getting difficult to trigger, but it is widespread and demands our attention. Cracking and collapsing are signs that the snowpack is unmistakably unstable and poor stability test scores are a proxy to that. Triggering avalanches is possible today, so travel accordingly. In light of our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/accidents"><strong><u>recent accidents</u></strong></a> it’s wise to travel one at a time in avalanche terrain, watch each other from a safe distance and carry rescue gear. For today the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</p>

<p>From the Bridger Range to Big Sky and West Yellowstone, the snowpack is generally stable and triggering avalanches is unlikely. This does not mean the snowpack cannot surprise us; it merely means the odds are in our favor. There are two things to keep in mind with the snowpack today. The first are wind-drifting in odd places from the strong east wind that blew the last 3 days. The wind scraped slopes that normally get loaded and chewed back cornices, moving snow to slopes that are normally scoured (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/22/east-wind-effect-mt-ellis"><stron…;). Skiers on Mt. Ellis reported this yesterday. The second concern is weak, faced snow about 6-18” under the surface. Overall this layer is not reactive, but there may be a few small slopes with lingering instability that could be triggered. Look no further than the avalanche fatality in <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/accident/22/02/09"><strong><u>Lionhead on February 7</u></strong></a> as a reminder of the deadly potential of a small, isolated slide.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Always be on the lookout for signs of instability, and now that it’s getting warmer, stopping and testing the snow is no longer a frostbite threat. For today the avalanche danger is rated LOW.&nbsp;</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Education Opportunities

See our education calendar for an up-to-date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events.

March 4, Companion Rescue Clinic with the Bozeman Splitfest. Information and registration HERE.

Miller Mountain Avalanche Fatality

On February 19, 2022, three snowmobilers and two snow bikers were in Sheep Creek on the south face of Miller Mountain north of Cooke City. The two snow bikers were high on the slope when one stopped on a small ridge while the other climbed higher and triggered a large avalanche. The avalanche carried him down through a gully and over a cliff where he was partially buried near the toe of the debris. His arm and airbag were visible and his head was 1 foot under the surface. Resuscitation efforts were unsuccessful.

Natural small loose slides, Bridgers

The Throne
Bridger Range
Code
L-N-R1-D1-S
Elevation
8500
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.88220
Longitude
-110.95200
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
New Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Feb 23, 2022

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The mountains around Cooke City are still exhibiting signs of instability that cannot be ignored. A deadly <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25906"><strong><u>avalanche triggered by a snow biker</u></strong></a><strong> </strong>on Saturday was followed by a large natural avalanche on the south face of Mount Abundance on Monday (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25941"><strong><u>photos and details</u></strong></a>). Also on Monday, near Round Lake a rider triggered a 200’ long avalanche on a short and steep slope that could have buried someone (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25937"><strong><u>photo and details</u></strong></a>). Avalanches are propagating far distances on weak, sugary snow about 2 feet under the surface. Yesterday, skiers had whumpfs and shooting cracks (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25953"><strong><u>details</u></strong>…;) in wind drifts south of town on Woody Ridge. Triggering avalanches remains possible. Turn around at the first sign of instability like cracking and collapsing. The weak layers are not healing, they are just becoming slightly more difficult to trigger without the weight of new snow or wind-loads. For today the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.&nbsp;</p>

<p>In the mountains around Bozeman and Big Sky there are 2 avalanche concerns. The first is wind drifting from the east wind. Wind drifts are always a concern, but east wind is an unusual direction and atypical slopes are getting loaded (i.e. west facing terrain). Shooting cracks are a sign you are on a drift that could slide if steep enough. The second concern are loose snow avalanches big enough to knock you down and push you over cliffs. Alex and Ian saw this during their tour of the Throne in the Bridger Range on Monday (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/22/natural-loose-snow-avalanches-n-b…;, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gV89cwNXEnw"><strong><u>video</u></stro…;) and yesterday a skier saw large sluffs during a tour in Hyalite (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25951"><strong><u>details and photo</u></strong></a>). Wind is not loading slopes today, but yesterday they were. Triggering avalanches is still possible on wind drifts formed in the last couple days and the danger is rated MODERATE on these slopes. All other slopes have a LOW danger.</p>

<p>In the southern Gallatin and southern Madison Ranges along with the Lionhead area near West Yellowstone, there is weak snow buried 6-18” deep, but the snowpack is generally stable. In the absence of new snow or wind-loading avalanches are unlikely. There may be a few lone wolf slopes waiting for a trigger, but these are not numerous and the slides would not be very big or deep. During times of relative stability we still want to carry rescue gear, go one at a time into avalanche terrain and watch one another in case an avalanche gets unintentionally triggered. For today the avalanche danger is rated LOW on all slopes.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

Upcoming Education Opportunities

See our education calendar for an up-to-date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events.

March 4, Companion Rescue Clinic with the Bozeman Splitfest. Information and registration HERE.

Whumpfs and Shooting Cracks on Woody Ridge

Woody Ridge
Cooke City
Code
Latitude
44.97390
Longitude
-109.92400
Notes

I had two whumps and shooting cracks of small wind slabs (10cm thick) near the top of Woody Ridge on a W aspect. The top of Woody usually has a weak and thin snowpack and gets scoured or loaded, so I wasn't surprised. 

No other signs of instability observed. 

Number of slides
0
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Red Flag
Advisory Year

From email 2/22/22: "I did a loop around Alex Lowe and Blackmore today...There was a 5-10mph breeze near ridgelines, and other places were dead calm...I noticed a number of small to medium natural sloughs, some of which could have had the power to knock someone over." Photo: S. Reinsel

Northern Gallatin, 2022-02-23