19-20

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Jan 24, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>With warm temperatures, dirt showing in town, and the possibility of a drizzle of rain today it may feel like spring, but it is not. It is still very much winter and we still have a winter snowpack. The weak snow at the ground can’t be trusted. Triggering avalanches is still possible and if you do trigger one it may break very deep. We’ve seen avalanches breaking 5-15 ft deep over the last couple weeks in windloaded areas. Take a look at the <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity">Avalanche Activity</a></strong> page to remind yourself how big slides have been recently. There have been a number of close calls with people triggering these deep slides (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21706">details</a></strong&gt;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21678">details</a></strong&gt;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21680">details</a></strong&gt;). The likelihood of triggering an avalanche has decreased over the last week and no slides have been reported in the last three days. This is a good sign – but it’s not a free pass to ride steep slopes.</p>

<p>Skiers in the Bridger Range yesterday had a large collapse (100 ft across) on a slope that was just barely too low-angle to slide (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21731"><strong>details</strong></a&gt;). They listened to the warning sign and turned around. Don’t count on getting one of these clear warnings. Triggering an avalanche may be the first sign of instability you find. &nbsp;</p>

<p>Yesterday, touring near Hebgen Lake, I found no signs of instability or unstable snowpack test results, but stuck with the plan I’d made before heading out by sticking to low angle slopes (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4rzvTkbQDt4&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). The likelihood of triggering a slide remains high enough, and the size of a potential slide big enough, to remain very conservative in your terrain choices.</p>

<p>For today, large avalanches are possible and the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an&nbsp;<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">observation form</a></strong>, email us (<strong><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></strong&gt;), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.

COOKE CITY

Every Friday and Saturday, Snowpack Update and Rescue Training. Friday, 6:30-7:30 p.m. at the Soda Butte Lodge. Saturday anytime between 10-2 @ Round Lake.

BOZEMAN

Large Collapse near Ross Peak

Ross Peak
Bridger Range
Code
Latitude
45.85860
Longitude
-110.95600
Notes

From email: "Went out to Ross Peak with some friends today, and we saw some alarming signs. Snowpack out there was really shallow, similar to the approach to the Throne. We got to the first major clearing at about 7500', which tops out at about 36 degrees at the steepest part. We opted to tuck back in to the trees to try to find a lower-angle route around the slope, but there wasn't really a better option. It is a really short (~50') but wide (~500') slope, and we decided it would be reasonable to cross it one at a time. I was setting the skin track and got a big collapse that scared the shit out of me. For some reason it didn't slide, but I measured a few angles and the area that collapsed was definitely at 34-36 degrees. Probably collapsed an area about 100' across. After I had a chance to clean out my long johns, we turned around and skied back down the skin track."

Number of slides
0
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Red Flag
Advisory Year